Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women Betting tips for March 9 in England FA Cup Women

Our betting tip for Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
14:30

Arsenal Women
1.15

X
7.00

Liverpool Women

11.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women:

🔮 Arsenal Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal Women, you can win up to $575.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

Some important points for the tip for Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Arsenal Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women, with Arsenal Women as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Arsenal Women is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.
👉 Arsenal Women is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women for the England FA Cup Women – 9 of March

🏟️ Arsenal Women X Liverpool Women – England FA Cup Women
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 14:30
🔵 Arsenal Women – Winning probability: 98.46% | Fair line: 1.02
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.13% | Fair line: 88.29
🔴 Liverpool Women – Winning probability: 0.41% | Fair line: 245.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women

Is betting on Arsenal Women worth it?

🔵 Arsenal Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 98.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $147.00
And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$127.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $60.00
And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$930.00.

Is it worth betting on Liverpool Women?

🔴 Liverpool Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 11.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Arsenal Women
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Arsenal Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 Arsenal Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Liverpool Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Arsenal Women x Liverpool Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.