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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women Betting tips for December 1 in Japan Women Empowerment League
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 03h00 Japan Women Empowerment League
AS Elfen Women AS Elfen Women
PREDICTION No tip
AC Nagano Parceiro Women AC Nagano Parceiro Women
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AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women Betting tips for December 1 in Japan Women Empowerment League

Our betting tip for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
03:00
AS Elfen Women AS Elfen Women
2.52
X
2.80
AC Nagano Parceiro Women AC Nagano Parceiro Women
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women

The main points for the tip for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AS Elfen Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AC Nagano Parceiro Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, AS Elfen Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, AC Nagano Parceiro Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 AC Nagano Parceiro Women matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, AS Elfen Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, AC Nagano Parceiro Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women for the Japan Women Empowerment League – 1 of December

🏟️ AS Elfen Women X AC Nagano Parceiro Women – Japan Women Empowerment League
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 03:00
πŸ”΅ AS Elfen Women – Winning probability: 36.41% | Fair line: 2.75
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.21% | Fair line: 3.55
πŸ”΄ AC Nagano Parceiro Women – Winning probability: 35.38% | Fair line: 2.83
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AS Elfen Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women

Should you bet on AS Elfen Women?

πŸ”΅ AS Elfen Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 36.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $547.20
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$92.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$216.00.

Is betting on AC Nagano Parceiro Women worth it?

πŸ”΄ AC Nagano Parceiro Women: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $612.50;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$37.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 AS Elfen Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 AS Elfen Women and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 AS Elfen Women.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 AS Elfen Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AS Elfen Women x AC Nagano Parceiro Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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