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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC Betting tips for January 12 in Senegal Premier League
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 16h30 Senegal Premier League
AS Pikine AS Pikine
PREDICTION No tip
Guediawaye FC Guediawaye FC
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AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC Betting tips for January 12 in Senegal Premier League

Our betting tip for AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC, Sunday, 12/1/2025
πŸ“… 12/1/2025
16:30
AS Pikine AS Pikine
2.34
X
2.65
Guediawaye FC Guediawaye FC
3.36

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC

Important information for your tip for AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AS Pikine in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-9.0.
πŸ‘‰ AS Pikine did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Guediawaye FC, AS Pikine scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 AS Pikine matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Guediawaye FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, AS Pikine conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Guediawaye FC.

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Summary

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Analysis from AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC for the Senegal Premier League – 12 of January

🏟️ AS Pikine X Guediawaye FC – Senegal Premier League
πŸ“… 12 of January, 2025 – 16:30
πŸ”΅ AS Pikine – Winning probability: 40.28% | Fair line: 2.48
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.44% | Fair line: 2.74
πŸ”΄ Guediawaye FC – Winning probability: 23.27% | Fair line: 4.3
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AS Pikine
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AS Pikine and Guediawaye FC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC

Is it worth betting on AS Pikine?

πŸ”΅ AS Pikine: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $536.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$64.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $594.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$46.00.

Should you bet on Guediawaye FC?

πŸ”΄ Guediawaye FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.36. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $542.80
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$227.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AS Pikine
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 AS Pikine, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AS Pikine.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Guediawaye FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AS Pikine x Guediawaye FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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