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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien Betting tips for December 1 in Tunisia League 1
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h00 Tunisia League 1
AS Soliman AS Soliman
PREDICTION No tip
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien
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AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien Betting tips for December 1 in Tunisia League 1

Our betting tip for AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien, Sunday, 1/12/2024
πŸ“… 1/12/2024
13:00
AS Soliman AS Soliman
3.94
X
2.67
CS Sfaxien CS Sfaxien
2.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien

The main points for the tip for AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AS Soliman in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CS Sfaxien in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 AS Soliman matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 CS Sfaxien matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien for the Tunisia League 1 – 1 of December

🏟️ AS Soliman X CS Sfaxien – Tunisia League 1
πŸ“… 1 of December, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ AS Soliman – Winning probability: 9.33% | Fair line: 10.72
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.59% | Fair line: 2.89
πŸ”΄ CS Sfaxien – Winning probability: 56.08% | Fair line: 1.78
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AS Soliman
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AS Soliman and CS Sfaxien.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien

Is it a good idea to bet on AS Soliman?

πŸ”΅ AS Soliman: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $264.60
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$645.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $584.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$65.50.

Is betting on CS Sfaxien worth it?

πŸ”΄ CS Sfaxien: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 560 times – profiting $616.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$176.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AS Soliman
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AS Soliman and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AS Soliman.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 AS Soliman.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AS Soliman x CS Sfaxien

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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