Ascoli x Virtus Entella Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Ascoli x Virtus Entella, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 14:00

Ascoli 3.10

X 2.95

Virtus Entella 2.24

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ascoli x Virtus Entella:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ascoli x Virtus Entella

The main points for the tip for Ascoli x Virtus Entella: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ascoli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-161.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Virtus Entella in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Ascoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Virtus Entella scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Virtus Entella conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 road matches, Virtus Entella has not lost any of them. 👉 Ascoli has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Virtus Entella playing at home.

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Analysis from Ascoli x Virtus Entella for the Italy Serie C Group B – 12 of January

When the best bet on Ascoli x Virtus Entella is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ascoli x Virtus Entella

Is betting on Ascoli worth it?

🔵 Ascoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $721.50
• And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$91.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Virtus Entella?

🔴 Virtus Entella: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $446.40;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ascoli x Virtus Entella

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ascoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ascoli x Virtus Entella

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Ascoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Ascoli.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ascoli x Virtus Entella

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.