ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:30

ASD Atletico Ascoli 1.75

X 3.30

Civitanovese 4.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese

Some important points for the tip for ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Civitanovese in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, ASD Atletico Ascoli scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 ASD Atletico Ascoli matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, ASD Atletico Ascoli conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Civitanovese conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

When the best bet on ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese

Is it worth betting on ASD Atletico Ascoli?

🔵 ASD Atletico Ascoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 570 times – having a profit of $427.50;
• And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$2.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $713.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Civitanovese?

🔴 Civitanovese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $384.00;
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 ASD Atletico Ascoli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 ASD Atletico Ascoli and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 ASD Atletico Ascoli.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Atletico Ascoli x Civitanovese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.