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Home » Predictions » Others » ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
ASD Brusaporto ASD Brusaporto
PREDICTION No tip
Luparense FC Luparense FC
Don't miss this prediction!

ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
ASD Brusaporto ASD Brusaporto
2.51
X
3.12
Luparense FC Luparense FC
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC

The main points for the tip for ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Brusaporto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, ASD Brusaporto conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

🏟️ ASD Brusaporto X Luparense FC – Italy Serie D
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 ASD Brusaporto – Winning probability: 33.02% | Fair line: 3.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.99% | Fair line: 3.23
🔴 Luparense FC – Winning probability: 35.98% | Fair line: 2.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Brusaporto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC

Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Brusaporto?

🔵 ASD Brusaporto: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $498.30;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$171.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $657.20;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.80.

Is it worth betting on Luparense FC?

🔴 Luparense FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Brusaporto
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 ASD Brusaporto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ASD Brusaporto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Luparense FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Brusaporto x Luparense FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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