ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate Betting tips for March 9 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
16:30

ASD Caldiero Terme
2.90

X
2.98

Renate

2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate

Some important points for the tip for ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Caldiero Terme in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Renate in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, ASD Caldiero Terme conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Renate conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for ASD Caldiero Terme as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.
👉 It is not a good time for Renate as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate for the Italy Serie C Group A – 9 of March

🏟️ ASD Caldiero Terme X Renate – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 ASD Caldiero Terme – Winning probability: 27.66% | Fair line: 3.61
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.24% | Fair line: 3.31
🔴 Renate – Winning probability: 42.10% | Fair line: 2.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Caldiero Terme
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1277138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate

Is it worth betting on ASD Caldiero Terme?

🔵 ASD Caldiero Terme: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $532.00;
And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$106.00.

Should you bet on Renate?

🔴 Renate: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 420 times – profiting $546.00;
And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$34.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Caldiero Terme
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 ASD Caldiero Terme, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 ASD Caldiero Terme.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Caldiero Terme x Renate

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.