ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 ASD Sasso Marconi2.45 |
X 3.10 |
Prato  2.64 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato
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The main points for the tip for ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato: 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, ASD Sasso Marconi conceded at least 1 goal(s). |
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Analysis from ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
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🏟️ ASD Sasso Marconi X Prato – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato
Is betting on ASD Sasso Marconi worth it?
🔵 ASD Sasso Marconi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $536.50;
- And would have lost other 630 times – with a loss of -$630.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$93.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Prato?
🔴 Prato: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $590.40
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$49.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 ASD Sasso Marconi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 ASD Sasso Marconi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ASD Sasso Marconi.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Prato.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Sasso Marconi x Prato
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
