ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 13:30

ASD Sporting Trestina 2.45

X 3.10

Aquila 1902 Montevarchi 2.58

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

The main points for the tip for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi: 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, ASD Sporting Trestina scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Aquila 1902 Montevarchi scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 ASD Sporting Trestina has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Aquila 1902 Montevarchi playing at home.

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Analysis from ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Sporting Trestina?

🔵 ASD Sporting Trestina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $536.50;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$93.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it worth betting on Aquila 1902 Montevarchi?

🔴 Aquila 1902 Montevarchi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $537.20;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$122.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ASD Sporting Trestina
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 ASD Sporting Trestina and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 ASD Sporting Trestina.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 ASD Sporting Trestina.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Sporting Trestina x Aquila 1902 Montevarchi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.