ASD Trastevere x Gelbison Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 1/12/2024 13:30 |
 ASD Trastevere2.15 |
X 3.20 |
Gelbison  2.95 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for ASD Trastevere x Gelbison:
👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for ASD Trastevere x Gelbison
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Analysis from ASD Trastevere x Gelbison for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December
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🏟️ ASD Trastevere X Gelbison – Italy Serie D |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ASD Trastevere x Gelbison right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for ASD Trastevere x Gelbison
Is betting on ASD Trastevere worth it?
🔵 ASD Trastevere: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $517.50;
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$32.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $594.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Gelbison?
🔴 Gelbison: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $526.50
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$203.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Trastevere x Gelbison
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Trastevere
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Trastevere x Gelbison
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 ASD Trastevere, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 ASD Trastevere.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Gelbison.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Trastevere x Gelbison
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
