ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 2/2/2025 13:30 |
 ASD Varesina3.10 |
X 3.11 |
Desenzano Calvina  2.15 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1555.00!
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Important information for your tip for ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina: 👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Varesina in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-386.0. |
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Analysis from ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February
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🏟️ ASD Varesina X Desenzano Calvina – Italy Serie D |
When the best bet on ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina
Is betting on ASD Varesina worth it?
🔵 ASD Varesina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $441.00;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$349.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 370 times – profiting $780.70;
- And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$150.70.
Is it worth betting on Desenzano Calvina?
🔴 Desenzano Calvina: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $483.00;
- And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$97.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 ASD Varesina
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 ASD Varesina, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 ASD Varesina.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Varesina x Desenzano Calvina
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
