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Home » Predictions » Others » ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
ASD Villa DAlme ASD Villa DAlme
PREDICTION No tip
Calvi Noale Calvi Noale
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ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
ASD Villa DAlme ASD Villa DAlme
1.91
X
3.20
Calvi Noale Calvi Noale
3.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale

Some important points for the tip for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Calvi Noale in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, ASD Villa DAlme scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Calvi Noale conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ ASD Villa DAlme X Calvi Noale – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 ASD Villa DAlme – Winning probability: 52.25% | Fair line: 1.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.16% | Fair line: 3.32
🔴 Calvi Noale – Winning probability: 17.59% | Fair line: 5.68
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ASD Villa DAlme
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale

Is it a good idea to bet on ASD Villa DAlme?

🔵 ASD Villa DAlme: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $473.20;
  • And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$6.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $660.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Calvi Noale?

🔴 Calvi Noale: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $459.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$361.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 ASD Villa DAlme
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 ASD Villa DAlme, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 ASD Villa DAlme.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Calvi Noale.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for ASD Villa DAlme x Calvi Noale

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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