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16/1/2022 15:00 |
 Ashanti Gold1.51 |
X 3.54 |
Elmina Sharks  5.82 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ashanti Gold x Elmina Sharks:
๐ฎ Ashanti Gold wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ashanti Gold, you can win up to $753.75!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Ashanti Gold x Elmina Sharks
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Analysis from Ashanti Gold x Elmina Sharks for the Ghana Premier League – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Ashanti Gold X Elmina Sharks – Ghana Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ashanti Gold and Elmina Sharks.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288046 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ashanti Gold x Elmina Sharks
Should you bet on Ashanti Gold?
๐ต Ashanti Gold: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.51. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $370.48;
- And would lose other 270 times – losing -$270.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$100.48.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $406.96;
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐ฐ-$433.04.
Should you bet on Elmina Sharks?
๐ด Elmina Sharks: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $530.20;
- And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$359.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ashanti Gold x Elmina Sharks
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ashanti Gold
โฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ashanti Gold x Elmina Sharks
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Ashanti Gold, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Ashanti Gold.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Elmina Sharks.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ashanti Gold x Elmina Sharks
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
