Ashton Utd x Basford Utd Betting tips for November 30 in England Northern Premier League
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30/11/2024 15:00 |
 Ashton Utd2.00 |
X 3.75 |
Basford Utd  2.90 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ashton Utd x Basford Utd:
π Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Ashton Utd x Basford Utd
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The main points for the tip for Ashton Utd x Basford Utd: π If you had bet $100 on Ashton Utd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-165.0. |
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Analysis from Ashton Utd x Basford Utd for the England Northern Premier League – 30 of November
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ποΈ Ashton Utd X Basford Utd – England Northern Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ashton Utd x Basford Utd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ashton Utd x Basford Utd
Is betting on Ashton Utd worth it?
π΅ Ashton Utd: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 59.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $590.00;
- And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$180.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
βͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – profiting $577.50;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$212.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Basford Utd?
π΄ Basford Utd: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $380.00;
- And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$420.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ashton Utd x Basford Utd
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ashton Utd
β½ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ashton Utd x Basford Utd
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Ashton Utd, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Ashton Utd.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ashton Utd x Basford Utd
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.
