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Home Β» Predictions Β» Asti x Ligorna Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Asti Asti
PREDICTION No tip
Ligorna Ligorna
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Asti x Ligorna Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Asti x Ligorna, Sunday, 2/2/2025
πŸ“… 2/2/2025
13:30
Asti Asti
2.97
X
3.15
Ligorna Ligorna
2.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Asti x Ligorna:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Asti x Ligorna

Some important points for the tip for Asti x Ligorna:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Asti in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ligorna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-9.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Asti matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ligorna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Asti has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Ligorna playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Asti x Ligorna for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Asti X Ligorna – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
πŸ”΅ Asti – Winning probability: 21.20% | Fair line: 4.72
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.10% | Fair line: 3.22
πŸ”΄ Ligorna – Winning probability: 47.69% | Fair line: 2.1
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Asti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Asti x Ligorna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Asti x Ligorna

Is it worth betting on Asti?

πŸ”΅ Asti: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.97. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $413.70
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$376.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $666.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$23.50.

Is it worth betting on Ligorna?

πŸ”΄ Ligorna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$56.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Asti x Ligorna

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Asti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Asti x Ligorna

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Asti, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Asti.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Asti x Ligorna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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