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Home » Predictions » Others » Atalanta x Bologna Betting tips for February 4 in Coppa Italia
Tuesday, 04 February 2025, 20h00 Coppa Italia
Atalanta Atalanta
PREDICTION Atalanta wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Bologna Bologna
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Atalanta x Bologna Betting tips for February 4 in Coppa Italia

Our betting tip for Atalanta x Bologna, Tuesday, 4/2/2025
📅 4/2/2025
20:00
Atalanta Atalanta
1.75
X
3.80
Bologna Bologna
4.29

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atalanta x Bologna:

🔮 Atalanta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atalanta, you can win up to $875.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Atalanta x Bologna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atalanta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Atalanta scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Bologna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Bologna has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Atalanta x Bologna?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Atalanta x Bologna for the Coppa Italia – 4 of February

🏟️ Atalanta X Bologna – Coppa Italia
📅 4 of February, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Atalanta – Winning probability: 65.96% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.94% | Fair line: 7.18
🔴 Bologna – Winning probability: 20.11% | Fair line: 4.97
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atalanta x Bologna is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1256585 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atalanta x Bologna

Should you bet on Atalanta?

🔵 Atalanta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – profiting $495.00;
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$155.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $392.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$468.00.

Is betting on Bologna worth it?

🔴 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $658.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atalanta x Bologna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Atalanta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atalanta x Bologna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Atalanta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Atalanta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Atalanta.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atalanta x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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