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Home » Predictions » Others » Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos Betting tips for October 30 in Greece Cup
Wednesday, 30 October 2024, 19h30 Greece Cup
Athens Kallithea Athens Kallithea
PREDICTION Athens Kallithea wins Probability 15% 1 X 2
Olympiakos Olympiakos
ODD: @8.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos Betting tips for October 30 in Greece Cup

Our betting tip for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos, Wednesday, 30/10/2024
📅 30/10/2024
19:30
Athens Kallithea Athens Kallithea
8.25
X
4.40
Olympiakos Olympiakos
1.34

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos:

🔮 Athens Kallithea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athens Kallithea, you can win up to $4125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Olympiakos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
👉 In the last 4 Olympiakos matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos for the Greece Cup – 30 of October

🏟️ Athens Kallithea X Olympiakos – Greece Cup
📅 30 of October, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Athens Kallithea – Winning probability: 15.87% | Fair line: 6.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.38% | Fair line: 11.93
🔴 Olympiakos – Winning probability: 75.75% | Fair line: 1.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Athens Kallithea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1212778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

Is it a good idea to bet on Athens Kallithea?

🔵 Athens Kallithea: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $1160.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$320.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.38%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $272.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$648.00.

Should you bet on Olympiakos?

🔴 Olympiakos: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – profiting $258.40;
  • And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$18.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Athens Kallithea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Athens Kallithea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Athens Kallithea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Athens Kallithea.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athens Kallithea x Olympiakos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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