Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 11:00

Athletic Bilbao B 2.25

X 3.00

Barakaldo 3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo

Important information for your tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-285.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barakaldo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Barakaldo, Athletic Bilbao B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo, with Athletic Bilbao B as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao B conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 12 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo

Is betting on Athletic Bilbao B worth it?

🔵 Athletic Bilbao B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $575.00;
• And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$35.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it worth betting on Barakaldo?

🔴 Barakaldo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
• And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Athletic Bilbao B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Athletic Bilbao B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Athletic Bilbao B.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao B x Barakaldo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.