Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:00

Athletic Bilbao B 2.31

X 3.10

Celta Fortuna 2.79

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

Important information for your tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Celta Fortuna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-224.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Celta Fortuna scored at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna?

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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

Is betting on Athletic Bilbao B worth it?

🔵 Athletic Bilbao B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.31. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $471.60;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$168.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $609.00;
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$101.00.

Is it worth betting on Celta Fortuna?

🔴 Celta Fortuna: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $626.50
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$23.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Athletic Bilbao B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Athletic Bilbao B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Athletic Bilbao B.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao B x Celta Fortuna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.