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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 20h30 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
Athletic Bilbao B Athletic Bilbao B
PREDICTION No tip
Real Sociedad B Real Sociedad B
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Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B, Saturday, 30/11/2024
πŸ“… 30/11/2024
20:30
Athletic Bilbao B Athletic Bilbao B
2.15
X
3.00
Real Sociedad B Real Sociedad B
3.30

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B

Some important points for the tip for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Real Sociedad B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Sociedad B, Athletic Bilbao B scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Real Sociedad B matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Athletic Bilbao B conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Real Sociedad B conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Athletic Bilbao B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Real Sociedad B.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Athletic Bilbao B as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B:

Analysis from Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ Athletic Bilbao B X Real Sociedad B – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1
πŸ“… 30 of November, 2024 – 20:30
πŸ”΅ Athletic Bilbao B – Winning probability: 44.87% | Fair line: 2.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 36.10% | Fair line: 2.77
πŸ”΄ Real Sociedad B – Winning probability: 19.03% | Fair line: 5.26
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1230061 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B

Is it a good idea to bet on Athletic Bilbao B?

πŸ”΅ Athletic Bilbao B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$32.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$80.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Real Sociedad B?

πŸ”΄ Real Sociedad B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $437.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$373.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Athletic Bilbao B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Athletic Bilbao B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Athletic Bilbao B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao B x Real Sociedad B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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