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19/1/2022 20:30 |
 Athletic Bilbao2.69 |
X 3.15 |
Barcelona  2.54 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona:
๐ฎ Barcelona wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $1272.50!
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
Looking for another bookie to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona, no problem. Right below you have the bookies that we used the most in 2022. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona for the Spain Copa del Rey – 19 of January
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๐๏ธ Athletic Bilbao X Barcelona – Spain Copa del Rey |
When the best bet on Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288868 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
Should you bet on Athletic Bilbao?
๐ต Athletic Bilbao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $439.40
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$300.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $516.00
- And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$244.00.
Is it worth betting on Barcelona?
๐ด Barcelona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $772.50
- And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$272.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Athletic Bilbao
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Athletic Bilbao, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Athletic Bilbao.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Barcelona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
