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20/1/2022 20:30 |
 Athletic Bilbao2.70 |
X 3.20 |
Barcelona  2.55 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona:
๐ฎ Barcelona wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $1275.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona:
Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona for the Spain Copa del Rey – 20 of January
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๐๏ธ Athletic Bilbao X Barcelona – Spain Copa del Rey |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 290148 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
Is it a good idea to bet on Athletic Bilbao?
๐ต Athletic Bilbao: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 350 times – profiting $595.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$55.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $484.00
- And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$296.00.
Should you bet on Barcelona?
๐ด Barcelona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $682.00;
- And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$122.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Athletic Bilbao
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Athletic Bilbao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Athletic Bilbao.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Barcelona.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Barcelona
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
Follow our tips on YouTube too
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
