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Home » Predictions » Others » Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for April 13 in Spain La Liga
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 19h00 Spain La Liga
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
PREDICTION Athletic Bilbao wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
ODD: @1.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano Betting tips for April 13 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
19:00
Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao
1.62
X
3.65
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
5.85

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano:

🔮 Athletic Bilbao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $810.00!

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Important information for your tip for Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rayo Vallecano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $188.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Rayo Vallecano, Athletic Bilbao scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano, with Athletic Bilbao as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano for the Spain La Liga – 13 of April

🏟️ Athletic Bilbao X Rayo Vallecano – Spain La Liga
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 Athletic Bilbao – Winning probability: 70.69% | Fair line: 1.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.46% | Fair line: 4.66
🔴 Rayo Vallecano – Winning probability: 7.86% | Fair line: 12.73
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano

Is betting on Athletic Bilbao worth it?

🔵 Athletic Bilbao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $440.20;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$150.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $556.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$233.50.

Is betting on Rayo Vallecano worth it?

🔴 Rayo Vallecano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $388.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$532.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Athletic Bilbao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Athletic Bilbao.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Athletic Bilbao.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Rayo Vallecano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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