Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage Betting tips for March 13 in Copa do Brasil
| 📅 13/3/2025 22:30 |
 Athletico Paranaense1.22 |
X 5.25 |
Guarany de Bage  12.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage:
🔮 Athletico Paranaense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletico Paranaense, you can win up to $610.00!
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The main points for the tip for Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-263.0. |
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Analysis from Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage for the Copa do Brasil – 13 of March
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🏟️ Athletico Paranaense X Guarany de Bage – Copa do Brasil |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Athletico Paranaense and Guarany de Bage.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1280916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage
Is it a good idea to bet on Athletico Paranaense?
🔵 Athletico Paranaense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 960 times – having a profit of $211.20;
- And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$171.20.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $127.50
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$842.50.
Is betting on Guarany de Bage worth it?
🔴 Guarany de Bage: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $110.00
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$880.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 Athletico Paranaense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Athletico Paranaense.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Athletico Paranaense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletico Paranaense x Guarany de Bage
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
