Athletico Paranaense x Parana Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Paranaense
| 📅 11/1/2025 19:00 |
 Athletico Paranaense1.50 |
X 3.90 |
Parana  5.60 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Athletico Paranaense x Parana:
🔮 Athletico Paranaense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletico Paranaense, you can win up to $750.00!
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Important information for your tip for Athletico Paranaense x Parana: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-130.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Athletico Paranaense x Parana?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletico Paranaense x Parana, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Athletico Paranaense x Parana for the Brazil Campeonato Paranaense – 11 of January
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🏟️ Athletico Paranaense X Parana – Brazil Campeonato Paranaense |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Athletico Paranaense and Parana.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Parana
Is betting on Athletico Paranaense worth it?
🔵 Athletico Paranaense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $385.00
- And would lose other 230 times – losing -$230.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$155.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 110 times – profiting $319.00;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$571.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Parana?
🔴 Parana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
- And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletico Paranaense x Parana
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletico Paranaense x Parana
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Athletico Paranaense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Athletico Paranaense.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletico Paranaense x Parana
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
