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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Baiano
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 21h30 Brazil Campeonato Baiano
Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas
PREDICTION Atletico Alagoinhas wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Colo Colo BA Colo Colo BA
ODD: @1.48 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA Betting tips for January 11 in Brazil Campeonato Baiano

Our betting tip for Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
21:30
Atletico Alagoinhas Atletico Alagoinhas
1.48
X
3.80
Colo Colo BA Colo Colo BA
6.23

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA:

🔮 Atletico Alagoinhas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Alagoinhas, you can win up to $740.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Alagoinhas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0.
👉 In the last 3 Colo Colo BA matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Colo Colo BA has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA:

Analysis from Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA for the Brazil Campeonato Baiano – 11 of January

🏟️ Atletico Alagoinhas X Colo Colo BA – Brazil Campeonato Baiano
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 21:30
🔵 Atletico Alagoinhas – Winning probability: 86.64% | Fair line: 1.15
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.86% | Fair line: 10.14
🔴 Colo Colo BA – Winning probability: 3.50% | Fair line: 28.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Alagoinhas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Alagoinhas?

🔵 Atletico Alagoinhas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 86.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $417.60
  • And would lose other 130 times – losing -$130.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$287.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $280.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.

Is it worth betting on Colo Colo BA?

🔴 Colo Colo BA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $209.20
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$750.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Alagoinhas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Atletico Alagoinhas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Atletico Alagoinhas.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Alagoinhas x Colo Colo BA

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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