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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Atletico Arcos Atletico Arcos
PREDICTION No tip
FC Tirsense FC Tirsense
Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense Betting tips for March 9 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
15:00
Atletico Arcos Atletico Arcos
2.10
X
3.00
FC Tirsense FC Tirsense
3.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Arcos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Tirsense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Arcos scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 9 of March

🏟️ Atletico Arcos X FC Tirsense – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Atletico Arcos – Winning probability: 41.30% | Fair line: 2.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.69% | Fair line: 2.97
🔴 FC Tirsense – Winning probability: 25.01% | Fair line: 4.0
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Arcos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense

Is it worth betting on Atletico Arcos?

🔵 Atletico Arcos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $451.00;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$139.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $680.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$20.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Tirsense?

🔴 FC Tirsense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Arcos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Arcos, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Arcos.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Arcos x FC Tirsense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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