Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC Betting tips for April 17 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC, Thursday, 17/4/2025

📅 17/4/2025
21:00

Atletico Bucaramanga
1.44

X
3.90

Envigado FC

7.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC:

🔮 Atletico Bucaramanga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Bucaramanga, you can win up to $720.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

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Some important points for the tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1550.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Bucaramanga scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Envigado FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico Bucaramanga has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Envigado FC playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC for the Colombia Primera A – 17 of April

🏟️ Atletico Bucaramanga X Envigado FC – Colombia Primera A
📅 17 of April, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 80.67% | Fair line: 1.24
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.82% | Fair line: 6.32
🔴 Envigado FC – Winning probability: 3.51% | Fair line: 28.5
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1305782 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC

Should you bet on Atletico Bucaramanga?

🔵 Atletico Bucaramanga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 810 times – profiting $356.40;
And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$166.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 160 times – profiting $464.00;
And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$376.00.

Is betting on Envigado FC worth it?

🔴 Envigado FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 7.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $260.00
And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Atletico Bucaramanga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Atletico Bucaramanga.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Atletico Bucaramanga.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Envigado FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.