Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF Betting tips for April 14 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 01:10

Atletico Bucaramanga 1.92

X 3.25

Fortaleza CEIF 3.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF:

🔮 Atletico Bucaramanga wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Bucaramanga, you can win up to $960.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortaleza CEIF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 Fortaleza CEIF matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF, with Atletico Bucaramanga as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Atletico Bucaramanga has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Fortaleza CEIF playing at home.

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Analysis from Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF for the Colombia Primera A – 14 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Bucaramanga and Fortaleza CEIF.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1302894 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

Is betting on Atletico Bucaramanga worth it?

🔵 Atletico Bucaramanga: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 730 times – having a profit of $671.60;
• And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$401.60.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $382.50;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$447.50.

Is betting on Fortaleza CEIF worth it?

🔴 Fortaleza CEIF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $252.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$658.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Bucaramanga
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atletico Bucaramanga, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Bucaramanga.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Bucaramanga x Fortaleza CEIF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.