Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa Betting tips for March 15 in Portugal Liga 3
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15/3/2025 15:00 |
 Atletico CP Lisbon2.55 |
X 3.08 |
Lusitania Lourosa  2.55 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa
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The main points for the tip for Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa: π If you had bet $100 on Atletico CP Lisbon in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $152.0. |
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Analysis from Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa for the Portugal Liga 3 – 15 of March
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ποΈ Atletico CP Lisbon X Lusitania Lourosa – Portugal Liga 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1281364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa
Is betting on Atletico CP Lisbon worth it?
π΅ Atletico CP Lisbon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $496.00;
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$184.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $686.40
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just π°$16.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on Lusitania Lourosa worth it?
π΄ Lusitania Lourosa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $558.00;
- And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$82.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Atletico CP Lisbon
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Atletico CP Lisbon, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Atletico CP Lisbon.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico CP Lisbon x Lusitania Lourosa
β½ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
