Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca Betting tips for September 30 in Peru Liga 1

Our betting tip for Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 15:00

Atletico Grau 1.63

X 3.48

UTC Cajamarca 5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Grau in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UTC Cajamarca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Grau scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Grau matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, UTC Cajamarca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Grau has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against UTC Cajamarca playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca:

Analysis from Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca for the Peru Liga 1 – 30 of September

When the best bet on Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Grau?

🔵 Atletico Grau: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $396.90;
• And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$26.90, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $570.40;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$199.60.

Is betting on UTC Cajamarca worth it?

🔴 UTC Cajamarca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $600.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$250.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Grau
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Grau, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Atletico Grau.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 UTC Cajamarca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Grau x UTC Cajamarca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.