Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon Betting tips for February 7 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 7/2/2026 17:30 |
Atletico Madrid B1.84 |
X 3.00 |
Alcorcon ![]() 4.12 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon
The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Atletico Madrid B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
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Analysis from Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 7 of February
🏟️ Atletico Madrid B X Alcorcon – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 7 of February, 2026 – 17:30
🔵 Atletico Madrid B – Winning probability: 42.22% | Fair line: 2.37
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.67% | Fair line: 2.59
🔴 Alcorcon – Winning probability: 19.11% | Fair line: 5.23
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Madrid B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Atletico Madrid B had a huge Raised of 24.49%: the market opened with odds of @1.727 for Atletico Madrid B and now the odds are @2.15.
📊 The odds for Draw had a great Decreased of -12.90%: the market opened with odds of @3.1 for Draw and now the odds are @2.7.
📊 The odds for Alcorcon had a huge Decreased of -20.00%: the market opened with odds of @4.75 for Alcorcon and now the odds are @3.8.
📊 The market decreased home team´s favoritism: the handicap that opened at -0.50 is now at -0.25 for Atletico Madrid B.
📊 The market expects less goals than when it opened: the goals handicap opened at 2.00 and now is at 1.75 goals.
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1475440 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Is betting on Atletico Madrid B worth it?
🔵 Atletico Madrid B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $352.80
- And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$227.20.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 390 times – profiting $780.00;
- And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$170.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Should you bet on Alcorcon?
🔴 Alcorcon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $592.80
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Madrid B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Madrid B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Madrid B.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Alcorcon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon
Who is the favourite for Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Atletico Madrid B, with an estimated chance of 42.22%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Atletico Madrid B or Alcorcon?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Atletico Madrid B is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 42.22%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Atletico Madrid B beating Alcorcon today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Atletico Madrid B would win about 42 of those against Alcorcon.
What are the chances of Alcorcon beating Atletico Madrid B today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Alcorcon would take victory in roughly 19 of them against Atletico Madrid B.
Which team should I bet on: Atletico Madrid B or Alcorcon?
We did not identify an obvious positive EV bet for this game. Stay disciplined with bankroll management and avoid risking more than 2% of your funds!
How much is Atletico Madrid B paying today? See what you can win by betting on Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon:
The odds for Atletico Madrid B to beat Alcorcon today are around 1.84. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh1840.00 if Atletico Madrid B wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Alcorcon paying today? See what you can win by betting on Atletico Madrid B x Alcorcon:
The average odds for Alcorcon to beat Atletico Madrid B today are 4.12. So a KSh1000 stake could pay KSh4120.00 if Alcorcon wins. Bet responsibly and remember outcomes are not certain.

Atletico Madrid B