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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 16h30 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
Atletico Madrid B Atletico Madrid B
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid B wins Probability 62% 1 X 2
Algeciras CF Algeciras CF
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
16:30
Atletico Madrid B Atletico Madrid B
1.76
X
3.30
Algeciras CF Algeciras CF
4.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF:

🔮 Atletico Madrid B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid B, you can win up to $880.00!

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Important information for your tip for Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-153.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Algeciras CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Algeciras CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Algeciras CF has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 11 of January

🏟️ Atletico Madrid B X Algeciras CF – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 16:30
🔵 Atletico Madrid B – Winning probability: 62.75% | Fair line: 1.59
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.66% | Fair line: 4.05
🔴 Algeciras CF – Winning probability: 12.59% | Fair line: 7.94
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Madrid B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF

Is betting on Atletico Madrid B worth it?

🔵 Atletico Madrid B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $478.80
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$108.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on Algeciras CF worth it?

🔴 Algeciras CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $409.50
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Madrid B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Atletico Madrid B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atletico Madrid B.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid B x Algeciras CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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