Atletico Madrid x Levante Betting tips for November 8 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid x Levante, Saturday, 8/11/2025

📅 8/11/2025 17:30

Atletico Madrid 1.22

X 6.40

Levante 11.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Madrid x Levante:

🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $610.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Levante:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Levante in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-47.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Levante scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Levante conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Madrid conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Levante.
👉 Atletico Madrid is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Levante has not lost any of them.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Levante:

⚽ The match between Atlético Madrid and Levante will be played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium, which is not Atlético Madrids usual stadium. This might slightly affect the home advantage for Atlético, despite the teams strong technical and statistical superiority.

📊 Looking at recent stats, Atlético Madrid shows impressive performance: 5 wins out of 5 recent home games with high average goals scored (3 per game) and solid defense (1 goal conceded per game). They also dominate possession (57%) and shots on target (17 per game), showing total control of matches. Levante struggles away from home with only 2 wins in the last 5 away games, low average goals scored (2), and concedes more goals than they score.

📈 In the league table, although exact data isnt detailed here, we know Levante is fighting to escape the lower zone with few points recently, while Atlético aims to stay high in the table. This difference in team needs increases pressure on Levante to seek positive results.

📰 News indicates Atlético was recently eliminated from the Champions League after a tight match against Borussia Dortmund. This could motivate them to focus fully on the national league now. Conversely, Levante faces serious injury problems in their main squad and low morale after a winless streak.

💡 Considering all this along with the median odds offered by betting houses — Atléticos victory priced at about 1.23 — our analysis suggests a fair probability adjusted for Atléticos victory close to or slightly below the implied odds due to them playing outside their usual stadium; draw has a very low probability; Levantes win is practically negligible given their current fragility.

✅ The Bets Kenya model indicates absurdly low odds for the home win (~1.03) and very high odds for draw (~44) and away win (~126), suggesting positive value only on betting the home team with an EV estimated above 14%. We fully agree that betting on Atléticos victory is the best choice here! Despite not playing at the traditional Metropolitano, their technical superiority is overwhelming compared to the visitors current poor form.

Final tip: Bet on Atlético Madrids victory, as there is clear value in this bet considering the strong stats favoring the team even when playing at a different stadium! 🎯

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Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Levante for the Spain La Liga – 8 of November

When the best bet on Atletico Madrid x Levante is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1434443 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news on the match between Atletico Madrid and Levante

Atlético Madrid: Atlético Madrid was recently eliminated from the Champions League after a dramatic 2-2 draw against Borussia Dortmund on April 16, 2024; Ángel Correa scored to level the match, but Dortmunds 2-1 victory in the first leg secured their qualification with a 4-3 aggregate, ending Simeones European campaign, while the clubs recent domestic focus has been a detailed tactical analysis of the match against Union SG, highlighting tactical nuances and player performances as the Colchoneros prepare for the remaining La Liga games and stay active in the transfer market for the summer.

Levante: Levante, coached by Julián Calero, approaches its next fixture with only nine points in ten rounds, seeking its first victory at Ciutat de València after three winless games and with morale slightly low; the team faces several key absences, including forward Iván Romero, who misses his third consecutive game, and full-backs Oriol Rey and Diego Pampín, who are still not fit to play, while Pablo Martínez will suffer an ankle injury that will keep him out for four to six weeks. The recent signing of forward Etta Eyong, who showed enthusiasm upon arrival and already scored on his debut, adds to the rotation along with newcomers Koyalipou and Kervin Arriaga, as the club tries to consolidate its position in the table, just one point behind Celta de Vigo.

Table analysis for the match between Atletico Madrid and Levante

Atlético Madrid: Atlético Madrid is in 4th place, fighting for a direct spot in the Champions League, with 22 points and a positive goal difference of 11. The gap to 3rd place is small (1 point), making this match vital to maintain or improve their position on the table and secure qualification for Europes top competition. Every point gained now is crucial to avoid falling behind their direct rivals, especially in such a decisive phase of the season.

Levante: Levante is in 16th place, with 9 points and a negative goal difference of 5, close to the relegation zone. Considering their current position and the proximity of teams at the bottom of the table, this game is crucial for Levante to seek points that can move them away from dangerous spots and ensure La Liga survival. Not winning could increase pressure in upcoming matches.

Summary: The match is very important for both teams, as Atlético Madrid fights for direct qualification to the Champions League, and Levante aims to distance itself from relegation. A game expected to be intense and challenging for both sides! ⚽🔥

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Levante

Is betting on Atletico Madrid worth it?

🔵 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $213.40;
• And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $108.00;
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$872.00.

Is it worth betting on Levante?

🔴 Levante: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$890.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Levante

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Levante

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Atletico Madrid, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 Atletico Madrid.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Levante.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Levante

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.