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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Madrid x Osasuna Betting tips for January 12 in Spain La Liga
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h15 Spain La Liga
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
PREDICTION Atletico Madrid wins Probability 94% 1 X 2
Osasuna Osasuna
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Madrid x Osasuna Betting tips for January 12 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid x Osasuna, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
15:15
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
1.33
X
5.00
Osasuna Osasuna
9.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Madrid x Osasuna:

🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $665.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Madrid x Osasuna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Osasuna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-138.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Osasuna, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Atletico Madrid is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Osasuna has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Atletico Madrid x Osasuna?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Atletico Madrid x Osasuna:

Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Osasuna for the Spain La Liga – 12 of January

🏟️ Atletico Madrid X Osasuna – Spain La Liga
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 15:15
🔵 Atletico Madrid – Winning probability: 94.16% | Fair line: 1.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.31% | Fair line: 23.19
🔴 Osasuna – Winning probability: 1.52% | Fair line: 65.66
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Madrid x Osasuna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Osasuna

Is it worth betting on Atletico Madrid?

🔵 Atletico Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 94.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $310.20
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$250.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $160.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$800.00.

Should you bet on Osasuna?

🔴 Osasuna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $170.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$810.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Osasuna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Osasuna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Atletico Madrid.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Atletico Madrid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Osasuna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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