Atletico Madrid x Valladolid Betting tips for April 14 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Atletico Madrid x Valladolid, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 19:00

Atletico Madrid 1.14

X 7.50

Valladolid 16.65

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Madrid x Valladolid:

🔮 Atletico Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Madrid, you can win up to $570.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Madrid x Valladolid: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-45.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Valladolid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Valladolid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Valladolid, Atletico Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Valladolid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Valladolid conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Madrid has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Valladolid. 👉 It is not a good time for Valladolid as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Atletico Madrid x Valladolid?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Madrid x Valladolid, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Madrid x Valladolid for the Spain La Liga – 14 of April

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Madrid x Valladolid right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Madrid x Valladolid

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Madrid?

🔵 Atletico Madrid: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.14. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – profiting $138.60;
• And would lose other 10 times – losing -$10.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$128.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $65.00
• And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$925.00.

Should you bet on Valladolid?

🔴 Valladolid: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 16.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Madrid x Valladolid

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Atletico Madrid
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Madrid x Valladolid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Atletico Madrid and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 Atletico Madrid. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Madrid x Valladolid

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.