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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Mineiro
Wednesday, 05 February 2025, 00h30 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
PREDICTION Atletico Mineiro wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Athletic Club MG Athletic Club MG
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG Betting tips for February 5 in Brazil Campeonato Mineiro

Our betting tip for Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG, Wednesday, 5/2/2025
📅 5/2/2025
00:30
Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro
1.47
X
3.80
Athletic Club MG Athletic Club MG
6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG:

🔮 Atletico Mineiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Mineiro, you can win up to $735.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Club MG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 In the last 4 Atletico Mineiro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Athletic Club MG matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG for the Brazil Campeonato Mineiro – 5 of February

🏟️ Atletico Mineiro X Athletic Club MG – Brazil Campeonato Mineiro
📅 5 of February, 2025 – 00:30
🔵 Atletico Mineiro – Winning probability: 66.18% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.70% | Fair line: 4.61
🔴 Athletic Club MG – Winning probability: 12.11% | Fair line: 8.26
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1257615 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG

Is betting on Atletico Mineiro worth it?

🔵 Atletico Mineiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $310.20
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$29.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $616.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.00.

Is it worth betting on Athletic Club MG?

🔴 Athletic Club MG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Mineiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atletico Mineiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Atletico Mineiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Athletic Club MG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x Athletic Club MG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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