Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for October 2 in Copa do Brasil
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2/10/2024 19:15 |
 Atletico Mineiro1.62 |
X 3.60 |
Vasco da Gama  5.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama:
๐ฎ Atletico Mineiro wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Mineiro, you can win up to $810.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Mineiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $40.0. |
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Analysis from Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama for the Copa do Brasil – 2 of October
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๐๏ธ Atletico Mineiro X Vasco da Gama – Copa do Brasil |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1193870 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama
Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Mineiro?
๐ต Atletico Mineiro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 850 times – this would give you a profit of $527.00
- And would lose other 150 times – having a loss of -$150.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐ฐ$377.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $234.00;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$676.00.
Is betting on Vasco da Gama worth it?
๐ด Vasco da Gama: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $240.00;
- And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$700.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Mineiro
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Mineiro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Atletico Mineiro.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Vasco da Gama.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Mineiro x Vasco da Gama
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
