Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico Betting tips for September 29 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 16:00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 1.47

X 3.90

Boyaca Chico 6.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico:

🔮 Atletico Nacional Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Nacional Medellin, you can win up to $735.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boyaca Chico in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Boyaca Chico, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Atletico Nacional Medellin conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Boyaca Chico conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Atletico Nacional Medellin has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Boyaca Chico. 👉 It is not a good time for Boyaca Chico as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico for the Colombia Primera A – 29 of September

When the best bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔵 Atletico Nacional Medellin: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 88.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – profiting $418.30;
• And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$308.30.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $261.00;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$649.00.

Should you bet on Boyaca Chico?

🔴 Boyaca Chico: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $106.00
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$874.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Nacional Medellin x Boyaca Chico

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.