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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 10
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 Spain Tercera Group 10
Atletico Onubense Atletico Onubense
PREDICTION Atletico Onubense wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
La Palma CF La Palma CF
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 10

Our betting tip for Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
15:00
Atletico Onubense Atletico Onubense
1.78
X
3.30
La Palma CF La Palma CF
4.05

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF:

🔮 Atletico Onubense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Onubense, you can win up to $890.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on La Palma CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, La Palma CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF for the Spain Tercera Group 10 – 12 of January

🏟️ Atletico Onubense X La Palma CF – Spain Tercera Group 10
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Atletico Onubense – Winning probability: 60.53% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.89% | Fair line: 3.86
🔴 La Palma CF – Winning probability: 13.58% | Fair line: 7.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Onubense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Onubense?

🔵 Atletico Onubense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.53%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $475.80
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $598.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it worth betting on La Palma CF?

🔴 La Palma CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $427.00
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$433.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Onubense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico Onubense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Atletico Onubense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 La Palma CF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Onubense x La Palma CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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