Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano Betting tips for January 11 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 16:00

Atletico Saguntino 2.23

X 3.02

Athletic Torrellano 3.09

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano

Important information for your tip for Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Saguntino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $29.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Torrellano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Saguntino matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Athletic Torrellano has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 11 of January

When the best bet on Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano

Is it worth betting on Atletico Saguntino?

🔵 Atletico Saguntino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.23. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $553.50
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$3.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $666.60
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$3.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Athletic Torrellano?

🔴 Athletic Torrellano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.09. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $459.80;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Saguntino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Atletico Saguntino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Atletico Saguntino.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atletico Saguntino.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Saguntino x Athletic Torrellano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.