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Home » Predictions » Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 6
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 16h15 Spain Tercera Group 6
Atletico Saguntino Atletico Saguntino
PREDICTION Atletico Saguntino wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
UD Rayo Ibense UD Rayo Ibense
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense Betting tips for February 2 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
16:15
Atletico Saguntino Atletico Saguntino
1.50
X
3.75
UD Rayo Ibense UD Rayo Ibense
5.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense:

🔮 Atletico Saguntino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Saguntino, you can win up to $750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Saguntino in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-115.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Rayo Ibense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $75.0.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 2 of February

🏟️ Atletico Saguntino X UD Rayo Ibense – Spain Tercera Group 6
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 16:15
🔵 Atletico Saguntino – Winning probability: 77.89% | Fair line: 1.28
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.79% | Fair line: 5.62
🔴 UD Rayo Ibense – Winning probability: 4.31% | Fair line: 23.19
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Saguntino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense

Is it worth betting on Atletico Saguntino?

🔵 Atletico Saguntino: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $390.00;
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$170.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Rayo Ibense?

🔴 UD Rayo Ibense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $190.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$770.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Atletico Saguntino
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Atletico Saguntino, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Atletico Saguntino.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 UD Rayo Ibense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Saguntino x UD Rayo Ibense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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