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Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women Betting tips for March 9 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 23h00 Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Atletico San Luis Women Atletico San Luis Women
PREDICTION Toluca Women Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Toluca Women Toluca Women
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women Betting tips for March 9 in Mexico Liga MX Femenil

Our betting tip for Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
23:00
Atletico San Luis Women Atletico San Luis Women
3.70
X
3.70
Toluca Women Toluca Women
1.73

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women:

🔮 Toluca Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca Women, you can win up to $865.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico San Luis Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1181.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Toluca Women did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Atletico San Luis Women scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Toluca Women conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico San Luis Women conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Toluca Women.
👉 It is not a good time for Toluca Women as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women for the Mexico Liga MX Femenil – 9 of March

🏟️ Atletico San Luis Women X Toluca Women – Mexico Liga MX Femenil
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 23:00
🔵 Atletico San Luis Women – Winning probability: 19.46% | Fair line: 5.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.96% | Fair line: 5.9
🔴 Toluca Women – Winning probability: 63.58% | Fair line: 1.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico San Luis Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico San Luis Women and Toluca Women.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277528 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women

Is it worth betting on Atletico San Luis Women?

🔵 Atletico San Luis Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $513.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$297.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $459.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$371.00.

Is it worth betting on Toluca Women?

🔴 Toluca Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $467.20
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$107.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico San Luis Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Atletico San Luis Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Atletico San Luis Women.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -1.00, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Atletico San Luis Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico San Luis Women x Toluca Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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