Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF, Saturday, 30/11/2024

📅 30/11/2024 15:00

Atletico Sanluqueno 2.50

X 2.52

Algeciras CF 3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF

Some important points for the tip for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Sanluqueno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Algeciras CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Algeciras CF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF, with Atletico Sanluqueno as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Sanluqueno conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Algeciras CF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 30 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF

Is betting on Atletico Sanluqueno worth it?

🔵 Atletico Sanluqueno: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 380 times – profiting $570.00;
• And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $562.40
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$67.60.

Is it worth betting on Algeciras CF?

🔴 Algeciras CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$225.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Atletico Sanluqueno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Atletico Sanluqueno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Atletico Sanluqueno.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Sanluqueno x Algeciras CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.