Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h00 Spain Tercera Group 8
Atletico Tordesillas Atletico Tordesillas
PREDICTION Atletico Tordesillas wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:00
Atletico Tordesillas Atletico Tordesillas
1.72
X
3.40
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta:

🔮 Atletico Tordesillas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Tordesillas, you can win up to $860.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Tordesillas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Santa Marta in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $463.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, UD Santa Marta scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 12 of January

🏟️ Atletico Tordesillas X UD Santa Marta – Spain Tercera Group 8
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 Atletico Tordesillas – Winning probability: 70.07% | Fair line: 1.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.14% | Fair line: 4.97
🔴 UD Santa Marta – Winning probability: 9.79% | Fair line: 10.21
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Tordesillas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Tordesillas and UD Santa Marta.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Tordesillas?

🔵 Atletico Tordesillas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$204.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Santa Marta?

🔴 UD Santa Marta: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $320.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Atletico Tordesillas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Atletico Tordesillas and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Atletico Tordesillas.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Atletico Tordesillas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Tordesillas x UD Santa Marta

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters