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Home » Predictions » Others » Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen Betting tips for December 5 in France National
Friday, 05 December 2025, 18h30 France National
Aubagne Air Bel Aubagne Air Bel
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Rouen Rouen
ODD: @3.05
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Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen Betting tips for December 5 in France National

Our betting tip for Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen, Friday, 5/12/2025
📅 5/12/2025
18:30
Aubagne Air Bel Aubagne Air Bel
3.00
X
3.05
Rouen Rouen
2.19

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Aubagne Air Bel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rouen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $266.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Aubagne Air Bel scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Rouen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Aubagne Air Bel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Rouen has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen for the France National – 5 of December

🏟️ Aubagne Air Bel X Rouen – France National
📅 5 of December, 2025 – 18:30
🔵 Aubagne Air Bel – Winning probability: 23.73% | Fair line: 4.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.23% | Fair line: 3.01
🔴 Rouen – Winning probability: 43.04% | Fair line: 2.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Aubagne Air Bel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1448893 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen

Should you bet on Aubagne Air Bel?

🔵 Aubagne Air Bel: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $676.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$6.50.

Is betting on Rouen worth it?

🔴 Rouen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $511.70
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$58.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Aubagne Air Bel
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Aubagne Air Bel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Aubagne Air Bel.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aubagne Air Bel x Rouen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves