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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Audace Cerignola x Benevento Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie C Group C
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 17h30 Italy Serie C Group C
Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola
PREDICTION No tip
Benevento Benevento
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Audace Cerignola x Benevento Betting tips for April 13 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Audace Cerignola x Benevento, Sunday, 13/4/2025
πŸ“… 13/4/2025
17:30
Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola
1.85
X
3.10
Benevento Benevento
3.90

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Audace Cerignola x Benevento:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Audace Cerignola x Benevento

Some important points for the tip for Audace Cerignola x Benevento:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Audace Cerignola in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Benevento in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Audace Cerignola scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Benevento scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Benevento conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Audace Cerignola is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Audace Cerignola x Benevento?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Audace Cerignola x Benevento, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Audace Cerignola x Benevento for the Italy Serie C Group C – 13 of April

🏟️ Audace Cerignola X Benevento – Italy Serie C Group C
πŸ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 17:30
πŸ”΅ Audace Cerignola – Winning probability: 46.14% | Fair line: 2.17
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.10% | Fair line: 3.02
πŸ”΄ Benevento – Winning probability: 20.76% | Fair line: 4.82
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Audace Cerignola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Audace Cerignola x Benevento is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Audace Cerignola x Benevento

Is betting on Audace Cerignola worth it?

πŸ”΅ Audace Cerignola: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $391.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$149.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$23.00.

Should you bet on Benevento?

πŸ”΄ Benevento: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
  • And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$181.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Audace Cerignola x Benevento

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Audace Cerignola
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Audace Cerignola x Benevento

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Audace Cerignola, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Audace Cerignola.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Benevento.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Audace Cerignola x Benevento

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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