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Home » Predictions » Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports Betting tips for January 11 in France National 3
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 17h00 France National 3
Auxerre II Auxerre II
PREDICTION Auxerre II wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Sainte Genevieve Sports Sainte Genevieve Sports
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports Betting tips for January 11 in France National 3

Our betting tip for Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
17:00
Auxerre II Auxerre II
1.68
X
3.60
Sainte Genevieve Sports Sainte Genevieve Sports
4.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports:

🔮 Auxerre II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Auxerre II, you can win up to $840.00!

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The main points for the tip for Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Auxerre II in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sainte Genevieve Sports in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Auxerre II scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Sainte Genevieve Sports conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Auxerre II is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports for the France National 3 – 11 of January

🏟️ Auxerre II X Sainte Genevieve Sports – France National 3
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Auxerre II – Winning probability: 67.05% | Fair line: 1.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.84% | Fair line: 5.04
🔴 Sainte Genevieve Sports – Winning probability: 13.11% | Fair line: 7.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Auxerre II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports

Should you bet on Auxerre II?

🔵 Auxerre II: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $455.60;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$125.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sainte Genevieve Sports?

🔴 Sainte Genevieve Sports: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $416.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$454.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Auxerre II
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Auxerre II and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Auxerre II.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre II x Sainte Genevieve Sports

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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