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Home » Predictions » Others » AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
AVC Vogherese 1919 AVC Vogherese 1919
PREDICTION Ligorna Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Ligorna Ligorna
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
13:30
AVC Vogherese 1919 AVC Vogherese 1919
3.10
X
3.20
Ligorna Ligorna
2.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna:

🔮 Ligorna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ligorna, you can win up to $1050.00!

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The main points for the tip for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AVC Vogherese 1919 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $532.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ligorna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $93.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, AVC Vogherese 1919 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ligorna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 AVC Vogherese 1919 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

🏟️ AVC Vogherese 1919 X Ligorna – Italy Serie D
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 AVC Vogherese 1919 – Winning probability: 22.69% | Fair line: 4.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.99% | Fair line: 4.17
🔴 Ligorna – Winning probability: 53.32% | Fair line: 1.88
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AVC Vogherese 1919
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna

Is it a good idea to bet on AVC Vogherese 1919?

🔵 AVC Vogherese 1919: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$287.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$232.00.

Is betting on Ligorna worth it?

🔴 Ligorna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $583.00;
  • And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$113.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 AVC Vogherese 1919
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 AVC Vogherese 1919 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AVC Vogherese 1919.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ligorna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Ligorna

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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